Author: Marius Mitrofan Broker of Record

The latest late-Q3 stats from the GTA paint a nuanced picture for sellers and buyers. Home sales landed at 5,040—a 9% dip year-over-year—while new listings dropped even more sharply by about 14%, down to 16,500. This shift nudged the sales-to-new-listings ratio to roughly 31% from last year’s 29%, not because demand surged, but because supply contracted. Average selling prices and the MLS benchmark both slipped around 5% compared to last year. End-of-quarter active listings sat at 26,100, down 9%, keeping inventory steady at about 5.2 months of sales. Despite a month-over-month uptick in the raw average price to $1.01M, adjusted values trended lower, underscoring the importance of strategic pricing and fresh comparables—something I emphasize in every consultation. Properties spent an average of 34 days on market, but relistings pushed the true exposure closer to 51 days. In markets like this, a hands-on, data-driven approach is critical to maximize your net results and avoid leaving value on the table.

Toronto’s real estate market has made global headlines again—this time, for its pronounced shift. According to a leading wealth manager, Toronto has experienced the sharpest annual home price drop among 23 major cities, with values down approximately 11% year-over-year. For context, from 2014 to 2022 our city saw real home prices double, fueled by population growth, investor confidence, and a robust construction pipeline. Since 2022, higher interest rates, the foreign-buyer ban, and increased inventory have ushered in a significant correction, bringing prices nearly 30% below their peak. As a result, Toronto now falls into the ‘moderate bubble risk’ category—the gap between prices and local affordability has narrowed, but continued pressure is expected as inventory climbs and buyer sentiment remains cautious in light of potential rate hikes. Having navigated over 700 transactions in the GTA, I know firsthand that understanding these cycles—and how to position your property or purchase strategically—makes all the difference. In markets like this, a tailored approach and expert negotiation are more important than ever.

Toronto’s affordability picture saw a modest improvement in Q2, with the aggregate measure dropping by about 1 point to 64% across all housing types. While this brings some relief, our city still holds one of the toughest affordability rankings among major markets. The primary driver behind this progress has been income growth, as home prices begin to show early signs of stabilization—though this was the smallest quarterly gain since Q1 2024. For buyers exploring their options, Toronto condos provided the most relief, reaching their best affordability level since 2017 and presenting a more attainable entry point for many. It’s worth noting, however, that even with this easing, Toronto’s affordability burden remains the second highest among tracked markets, and just a point away from shifting in the rankings. As someone who’s navigated hundreds of GTA transactions over the years, I continue to track these trends closely to guide clients in maximizing their opportunities, whether buying or selling in this evolving landscape.

Curious about Toronto’s most affordable homes this September? Here’s a curated look at the 15 lowest-priced listings currently on the market, ranging from $314,900 to $374,900. These opportunities remind me why I’m passionate about helping clients find value in the GTA—access to the right information makes all the difference. With over two decades and 700+ successful transactions, I know that strategic decisions start with up-to-date market insight and careful evaluation of each option. If you’re considering your next move, or simply want to understand what’s possible at your price point, here’s a snapshot of current entry-level options:

1. Listing C13534498 — $314,900
2. Listing C13842776 — $324,900
3. Listing C13823670 — $325,000
4. Listing C13593954 — $345,000
5. Listing C13789328 — $349,000
6. Listing C13842368 — $349,800
7. Listing 40857772 — $349,900
8. Listing C13817308 — $349,900
9. Listing C13735648 — $350,000
10. Listing C13790770 — $350,000
11. Listing C13822922 — $359,900
12. Listing C13736992 — $369,000
13. Listing C13804940 — $369,000
14. Listing C13839232 — $370,000
15. Listing C13837906 — $374,900

Finding the right fit is about more than just price—timing, negotiation, and a tailored approach can unlock real value.

We’re seeing a dramatic shift in Toronto’s housing market: inflation-adjusted home prices have dropped by nearly 10% year-over-year, marking the most significant reset among major global cities. Benchmark values are following suit—Toronto’s composite home-price measure is down about 5% annually (seasonally adjusted), bringing the average to around $931,000. While central condo affordability looks better at first glance, once you factor in mortgage interest, maintenance, taxes, and the risk premium, it’s still considerably more expensive than renting. For those of us navigating this market, there’s a critical window right now: prices have softened, but if demand rebounds before supply catches up, things could tighten quickly. The reality is, to bring affordability back to 2019 levels, Toronto needs to increase annual housing starts by at least 50% over the next decade—a clear sign of the supply challenge ahead. Having spent over two decades guiding clients through both surges and resets, I know how important it is to combine strategic pricing with a hands-on, results-driven approach in moments like these.

We’re seeing GTA homebuyer competition continue to soften as we move through mid-Q3. Only 2% of qualifying neighbourhoods entered overbidding territory—down from 3% earlier in the quarter. Out of 267 neighbourhoods, 97% were underbid and just 1% sold at asking, a clear sign that bidding wars have become the exception, not the rule. The gap between condos and single-family homes also kept narrowing: 95% of single-family neighbourhoods and 98% of condo areas saw homes selling below asking. An economist recently called this one of the quietest periods for GTA real estate, and that’s translated into more negotiating room for buyers. Of the 4,200 homes sold in mid-Q3, 79% traded below asking, up slightly from 78% earlier. As someone who’s managed negotiations through every kind of market, I know how critical pricing strategy and negotiation are to achieving the best outcome—especially when competition shifts. If you’re considering a move or just want to understand what these changes could mean for you, it pays to have an experienced, hands-on advocate in your corner.